2018 December 06 ☆ Thursday

By Nancy Langley, Policy Choices
Originally published December 06, 2018 | 3:00 PM EST

MOST RECENT UPDATE:DECEMBER 06, 2018 | 11:35 PM EST
Updated as new tweets are posted and for clerical edits.


Morning Tweets

1st Tweet

Presidential Harassment

The most powerful government official in the United States just announced to the world that he is a victim of harassment. 

How accurate are Rasmussen polls? Is it a biased, “say what the President wants to hear” organization? I did a quick check and learned that they provide fairly accurate polling results.  So my next question is when was the poll showing a 50% approval rating completed?

As it turns out, that approval rating is accurate according to the Rasmussen poll. A review of their methodology does not reveal any glaring problems. While they state that the daily poll of 500 randomly selected internet users are combined for larger time frames of analyses (and that is important – it means one should not interpret any statistically significant value in a single data point of a single day rating – unless there was a sudden and massive spike one way or another – which would correlate to an external event should it occur), they are reporting actual numbers collected. They do not report their findings in an unbiased way, but the findings themselves? I would use their numbers for research purposes.

I had to check today’s poll numbers … 

So – What to make of the information?

How does the person at the center of criminal investigations that, to date, have yielded 33 persons and groups charged with crimes, have an approval rating that hovers around the 50th percentile?

 That’s a research question that I no longer have the tools to investigate. For starters, I would want to know more about the survey respondents. The most obvious questions that need to be asked are:

  • Do they watch or read the news?
  • If so, what are their news sources? 
  • Do they approve or disapprove of the Mueller Investigation?
  • Why or Why not?
  • Does the Mueller Investigation influence whether they approve or disapprove of the President?
  • Do they care about politics?
  • On a scale of 1 to 10, how much do they believe national politics affect their daily lives?
  • Did they vote in the 2016 election?
  • Did they take a Civics or Government class in high school?

Yes. There are more questions raised than answered in the president’s tweet today. He believes that his approval ratings would be higher if not for the Mueller Investigation. 

My concern is that at least half of Americans don’t care whether or not the POTUS is a crook or not. If that is the case? That is a problem.

But how could that be true? We know that many Trump supporters enjoy his rallies where they join like-minded individuals and shout “LOCK HER UP!”.  That would indicate that people suspecting a politician of criminal activity would want to “LOCK THEM UP!”.

Why would that sentiment change if the criminal turns out to be a guy they trusted enough to vote into office?

 Wouldn’t they then turn that feeling towards the guy who betrayed their trust?

It will be interesting to see what the Mueller Investigation reveals, and how the daily Presidential Approval Rating fluctuates. If we are living during rational times, that rating should reflect an extreme and sudden drop, or possibly but unlikely, a sudden steep climb.

Will it? 

I don’t know about you, but I’m going to start monitoring Rasmussen’s polling results. They’re the only public info-game in town (to my knowledge), and I want to see what happens at that single point in time when the truth becomes known.

UPDATE | 11:00 PM EST

There are other companies monitoring presidential approval ratings. A great source that provides an “all in one” location to view latest polling numbers from a variety of sources is at Real Clear Politics. Here’s an example of the type of information I found this evening at:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html
President Trump Job Approval

2nd Tweet

Presidential Condolences | Marines


Evening Tweets

1st Tweet

Denigration of News Media

In answer to his question:  Other news media provide the number of wins and losses of seats in both the House and the Senate. Perhaps the president should watch other news media more frequently and more extensively if he really wants answers to his question. 


2nd Tweet

China Trade


What is the source of that statement? Who wrote or spoke that statement (other than Donald J. Trump … in a Tweet)?


3rd Tweet

Jerome Corsi Quote

Jerome Corsi is a conspiracy theorist who may well be charged with crimes. He should not be considered a trusted source of information.


4th Tweet

Trish Regan Quote

Is Trish Regan’s source of information her imagination? Is her imagination evidence of wrong-doing?

This tweet is nothing more than a blame game to divert attention from actual criminal wrong-doings by the 33 people and groups already charged.


5th Tweet

Spontaneous Tweet Rant


6th Tweet

The Wall | Arizona

False Narrative / False Alarm. The United States is not at war with asylum seekers. If the president is aware of a non-walled area that immigrants will use for entry, then perhaps the president should send the proper personnel there to process the asylum seekers so that they do not panic and are not attacked by armed forces on domestic soil.


MOST RECENT UPDATE:DECEMBER 06, 2018 | 11:35 PM EST
Updated as new tweets are posted and for clerical edits.

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